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Two Percent of Normal

The sentence of the year was spoken Monday night by the public works director, without theatrics, in the second agenda slot: "We're at 2% of the median 30-year average for snowpack. Essentially Mount Ashland has zero snowpack right now."

Two percent. The only comparable year in modern records is 2014, when the ski area never opened. The reservoir is filling at seven to nine million gallons a day against a typical fifteen to twenty. Summer demand runs four and a half to six million gallons daily, temperature-driven. The irrigation district's reservoirs, drained to single digits in the last drought, took years to refill. And the fallback — the intertie that pumps Medford water into town — reaches only half the city, because the booster station to lift it to the Crowson side is an eighteen-month project planned for "the late 2020s," while the interim emergency pump, pre-specced and purchasable "within a couple months," has "kind of slowed down" due to staff turnover. Councilor Dahle pressed the point with the patience of a man who has read this movie's ending: "we've got drought year number one, if we have two and three it would be nice to have thought about that before." The director ranked the booster station "in the top five for sure," a phrase that will age exactly as well as the snowpack did.

The operational takeaways: voluntary conservation messaging "starts tonight"; turning on the interties is staff's call, no council action required; and the darkest wrinkle came from the 2020 file — the last curtailment was triggered when the Almeda fire knocked out the intertie at the same moment an algal toxin hit the irrigation supply. The systems that back each other up have failed simultaneously before. The director's parting worry: a warm fall "super El Niño" that delays the reservoir's recovery into next year. Readers with lawns may begin their grieving now.

Six Hundred Fifty Responses

The strategic-plan consultants opened the evening with engagement metrics — 650 survey responses as of 3 p.m., "the highest number we've seen with any community we've worked with," from an outreach list of 320-plus stakeholders — and the councilors performed the scrutiny this column has come to rely on. Councilor DuQuenne reported that people from the contact list she personally supplied "let me know... I haven't heard from them yet"; delivery of the list was pinned to "within the next few days." Councilor Kaplan confessed to sabotaging his own tracking metric: "I broke the rules" — he'd sent people to the city website instead of his unique survey link, because the link's landing page lacked context. The consultant, gently: "It's not... a competition of links." And a councilor did the arithmetic on the outreach claims — the touches counted exceed "our voting population" — while the consultant confirmed the analysts screen for bots, an assurance about Ashland civic life this paper accepts with regret. Mid-item, DuQuenne discovered the city is simultaneously running a separate three-option City Hall poll with no "other" box, authored by the legal department, which even the dais had confused with the strategic plan survey. The mayor's guidance — "it's important for all of us to understand the difference... so people don't go to the wrong survey" — is the purest available distillation of the engagement era.

The Fund Yes, the Fare No

The building-fund item closed the night, and its shape will be familiar to readers of this series' later chapters: the council said yes to the destination and no to the fare. Yes, by nod, to a dedicated building fund next biennium; yes to moving toward full cost recovery; yes to a fee-waiver program for affordable housing. No — the hand-raise failed — to the 20 percent fee increase staff wanted effective July 1. The numbers on the table: permit fees recover about 74 percent of the building division's costs, a target council itself set in 2019 and never updated; the subsidy runs $146,000 this year, $192,000 next, roughly $300,000 by 2028; and the community development director stated the underlying policy with unusual directness: "general taxpayers are subsidizing development activity within the community, which is not typical." Councilor Dahle wanted evidence before economics: "I don't want to go full Laffer curve on you, but... how do we know that if we raise fees... we would have actually less development?" — no chilling-effect analysis exists — while Councilor Sherell carried the incidence banner: "it's already expensive to build here... that's passed on to the neighbor and it's passed on to our kids." The city manager's warning went into the minutes with the nods: skip the July fees and "more than likely there will need to be a large subsidization from the general fund at the beginning of the next biennium." The man who spent a year preparing the proposal, the building official, was out on leave and missed the whole debate. Dahle's no came with a rider — "It is: I need more information" — and this paper notes for the record that the information now scheduled to arrive includes, on current trajectory, drought year two.


Sourced from machine-generated closed captions of the April 20, 2026 Ashland City Council study session. Quotations appear as transcribed, lightly conformed to natural speech; the caption software recycles speaker labels, so names are attached only where the chair's own words or self-identification confirm the speaker. Figures are as stated in open session.